Kalshi AI Trader
PAPERupdated Apr 09, 2026, 03:30:50 PM ET · 3m ago· next scan ~1m · next monitor ~2m
Equity
$93.78
peak $100.00 · start $100
Available
$46.11
8 open · $47.67 invested (51%)
Total PnL
$-2.59
-2.6% return
Today
$-6.22
13 trades
Win Rate
20%
5 closed / 13 total
Expectancy
$-1.24
per trade · PF 0.34
Risk gauges
Daily loss$6.22 / $20
Drawdown6.2% / 25%
Consec losses0 / 5
Capital deployed51% / 70% cap
Equity curve
Lessons learned
- Unprofitable: −$1.24 per trade5 trades, 20% win rate, profit factor 0.34.Suggestion: Raise MIN_EDGE_THRESHOLD to 0.08 or MIN_CONFIDENCE to 0.65 until expectancy turns positive.
Strategy performance
WEATHER
$-6.22
T MARKETS
+$3.25
B MARKETS
$-9.47
By city
CHI
+$2.83
LAX
$-9.05
Settlement calendar
Apr 9, 2026
5 positions
cost $27.84 · mark +$1.49
Apr 10, 2026
3 positions
cost $19.83 · mark +$2.14
Open positions (8)
KXHIGHAUS-26APR09-B82.5NO6x @ 48cWill the **high temp in Austin** be 82-83° on Apr…$-0.30 (-10%)
STOP 33cnow 43c · src weatherTAKE 68c
KXHIGHCHI-26APR10-T50NO6x @ 85cWill the high temp in Chicago be <50° on Apr 10, …$-0.06 (-1%)
STOP 70cnow 84c · src weatherTAKE 99c
KXHIGHMIA-26APR10-B82.5NO8x @ 69cWill the **high temp in Miami** be 82-83° on Apr …+$0.08 (+1%)
STOP 54cnow 70c · src weatherTAKE 89c
KXHIGHLAX-26APR09-B74.5NO5x @ 88cWill the **high temp in LA** be 74-75° on Apr 9, …+$0.20 (+5%)
STOP 73cnow 92c · src weatherTAKE 99c
KXHIGHNY-26APR10-T61YES106x @ 8cWill the **high temp in NYC** be <61° on Apr 10, …+$2.12 (+23%)
STOP 1cnow 10c · src weatherTAKE 28c
KXHIGHCHI-26APR09-B71.5NO2x @ 47cWill the high temp in Chicago be 71-72° on Apr 9,…+$0.10 (+10%)
STOP 32cnow 52c · src weatherTAKE 67c
KXHIGHMIA-26APR09-T81NO12x @ 83cWill the **high temp in Miami** be >81° on Apr 9,…+$0.72 (+7%)
STOP 68cnow 89c · src weatherTAKE 99c
KXHIGHNY-26APR09-T53YES11x @ 84cWill the **high temp in NYC** be <53° on Apr 9, 2…+$0.77 (+8%)
STOP 69cnow 91c · src weatherTAKE 99c
Recent trades
| When (ET) | Ticker | Dir | Price | Qty | Cost | Conf | PnL | Reason | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:25 PM | KXHIGHAUS-26APR09-B82.5 | NO | 48¢ | 6 | $2.99 | 89% | — | - | DEMO |
| 03:05 PM | KXHIGHCHI-26APR09-B71.5 | NO | 47¢ | 2 | $0.98 | 93% | — | - | DEMO |
| 02:45 PM | KXHIGHCHI-26APR09-B71.5 | NO | 59¢ | 2 | $1.22 | 93% | $-0.42 | stop_loss | DEMO |
| 02:15 PM | KXHIGHLAX-26APR09-B74.5 | NO | 88¢ | 5 | $4.44 | 97% | — | - | DEMO |
| 02:15 PM | KXHIGHLAX-26APR09-B72.5 | NO | 19¢ | 22 | $4.42 | 97% | $-3.60 | stop_loss | DEMO |
| 01:50 PM | KXHIGHMIA-26APR10-B82.5 | NO | 69¢ | 8 | $5.64 | 92% | — | - | DEMO |
| 01:50 PM | KXHIGHCHI-26APR10-T50 | NO | 85¢ | 6 | $5.16 | 85% | — | - | DEMO |
| 01:50 PM | KXHIGHLAX-26APR09-B74.5 | NO | 86¢ | 7 | $6.08 | 97% | $-1.36 | stop_loss | DEMO |
| 01:50 PM | KXHIGHNY-26APR10-T61 | YES | 8¢ | 106 | $9.03 | 89% | — | - | DEMO |
| 01:50 PM | KXHIGHCHI-26APR09-T72 | NO | 60¢ | 16 | $9.87 | 87% | +$3.25 | take_profit | DEMO |
| 01:50 PM | KXHIGHMIA-26APR09-T81 | NO | 83¢ | 12 | $10.08 | 95% | — | - | DEMO |
| 01:50 PM | KXHIGHLAX-26APR09-B72.5 | NO | 33¢ | 22 | $7.61 | 97% | $-4.09 | stop_loss | DEMO |
| 01:50 PM | KXHIGHNY-26APR09-T53 | YES | 84¢ | 11 | $9.35 | 94% | — | - | DEMO |