LIVE$-2.59 (-3.87%)$64.451m ago

Kalshi AI Trader

LIVEupdated Jun 13, 2026, 11:27:58 AM ET · 1m ago· next scan ~1m · next monitor ~1m
Pulse · LIVE · scan 1m · monitor 1m

Slight red.

Down $2.59 on 6 trades — plenty of runway left.

Today
−$2.59
-3.87% · 6 trades · 3 open
WatchingKXHIGHMIA-26JUN13-B90.5·7c above stop−$3.04
Equity
$64.45
$-43.24 · -43.2% · peak $69.36
Today
$-2.59
-3.87% of equity · 6 trades
Win Rate
34%
76 closed / 95 total
Expectancy
$-0.52
per trade · PF 0.78
Available
$54.17
3 open · $13.67 (21%)

Risk gauges

Daily loss$2.59 / $20
Drawdown7.1% / 25%
Consec losses0 / 5
Capital deployed21% / 60% cap

Performance

12-day equity curve · daily ledger
↓ Daily CSV↓ Trades CSV
Account equity
$68.14
real EOD (cash + marks)
Cumulative realized P&L
$-39.54
-39.5% vs $100 · excludes open marks
Profitable days
3/12
25% of days green
Max drawdown
-31.2%
cap 25% halt
Sharpe (ann.)
-3.59
not enough data yet — 12/30 days
Best / worst day
+$8.95
worst $-36.48
$65$70$75$80$85$90$95$100start $100peak $93.622026-06-01 · equity $88.80 · $-13.16 day · 27% WR · 11 closed2026-06-02 · equity $76.55 · $-11.68 day · 0% WR · 2 closed2026-06-03 · equity $76.55 · +$0.00 day · 0% WR · 0 closed2026-06-04 · equity $75.27 · +$0.00 day · 0% WR · 0 closed2026-06-05 · equity $93.62 · +$1.92 day · 40% WR · 10 closed2026-06-06 · equity $85.64 · $-5.52 day · 0% WR · 3 closed2026-06-07 · equity $90.27 · +$8.95 day · 100% WR · 3 closed2026-06-08 · equity $71.24 · $-36.48 day · 18% WR · 11 closed2026-06-09 · equity $67.29 · $-5.73 day · 0% WR · 1 closed2026-06-10 · equity $67.98 · +$0.66 day · 100% WR · 1 closed2026-06-11 · equity $67.76 · $-1.44 day · 0% WR · 3 closed2026-06-12 · equity $68.14 · $-0.65 day · 0% WR · 2 closedtoday (live) · equity $64.45 · $-2.59 today · 3 open · in progress● LIVE$64.45DRAWDOWN FROM PEAK0%-36%max DD -31.2%Jun 1Jun 3Jun 5Jun 7Jun 9Jun 11today
end-of-day equity $100 break-even halted day drawdown from peakhover a point for that day's detail

Today's lessons

Week over week

real equity · % change vs prior week
Jun 8 – Jun 13
-28.60%
$-25.82
$64.45 equity · 6 days
Jun 1 – Jun 7
—
first period
$90.27 equity · 7 days

Month over month

real equity · % change vs prior month
Jun 2026
—
first period
$64.45 equity · 13 days

Strategy performance

WEATHER
$-8.73
68 closed · 38% WR
avg win $5.42 · avg loss $-3.57
T MARKETS
$-6.09
20 closed · 30% WR
B MARKETS
$-33.75
56 closed · 36% WR

By city

DEN
+$11.98
11 · 55%
MIA
+$7.28
17 · 41%
NY
+$7.01
12 · 42%
CHI
+$2.73
5 · 60%
AUS
+$1.71
13 · 38%
LAX
$-61.29
17 · 0%

Settlement calendar

Jun 13, 2026
3 positions
cost $13.67 · mark $-3.40

Open positions (3)

KXHIGHMIA-26JUN13-B90.5NO19x @ 47cWill the **high temp in Miami** be 90-91° on Jun …$-3.04 (-33%)
STOP 24cnow 31c · src weatherTAKE 97c
KXHIGHDEN-26JUN13-B78.5NO4x @ 65cWill the **high temp in Denver** be 78-79° on Jun…$-0.44 (-16%)
STOP 34cnow 54c · src weatherTAKE 99c
KXHIGHNY-26JUN13-B87.5NO4x @ 46cWill the **high temp in NYC** be 87-88° on Jun 13…+$0.08 (+4%)
STOP 23cnow 48c · src weatherTAKE 90c

Recent trades

YESKXHIGHNY-26JUN13-T87+$1.71
10× @ 20¢·$2.12·conf 45%·08:27 AM ET·smart_exit
NOKXHIGHAUS-26JUN13-B93.5+$0.14
4× @ 49¢·$2.03·conf 53%·09:21 AM ET·manual
NOKXHIGHDEN-26JUN13-B78.5OPEN
4× @ 65¢·$2.67·conf 65%·10:24 AM ET
NOKXHIGHCHI-26JUN13-B84.5+$0.29
7× @ 67¢·$4.80·conf 70%·10:09 PM ET·smart_exit
NOKXHIGHNY-26JUN13-B87.5OPEN
4× @ 46¢·$1.91·conf 64%·07:33 AM ET
NOKXHIGHLAX-26JUN12-T74$-1.28
2× @ 81¢·$2.24·conf 0%·09:42 PM ET·manual
NOKXHIGHLAX-26JUN12-T74$-0.27
5× @ 80¢·$4.54·conf 0%·07:36 PM ET·stop_loss
NOKXHIGHLAX-26JUN12-T74OPEN
2× @ 81¢·$2.24·conf 0%·03:59 AM ET
YESKXHIGHNY-26JUN13-B89.5$-0.88
22× @ 9¢·$2.11·conf 50%·01:57 AM ET·smart_exit
NOKXHIGHMIA-26JUN13-B90.5OPEN
19× @ 47¢·$9.27·conf 85%·10:09 PM ET
NOKXHIGHNY-26JUN12-T90$-0.36
5× @ 86¢·$4.35·conf 86%·11:33 AM ET·smart_exit
NOKXHIGHNY-26JUN12-T90$-0.29
8× @ 89¢·$7.18·conf 88%·09:57 AM ET·smart_exit
NOKXHIGHLAX-26JUN12-T74$-0.65
5× @ 80¢·$4.06·conf 76%·07:36 PM ET·smart_exit
NOKXHIGHLAX-26JUN12-T74$-0.62
12× @ 66¢·$8.11·conf 78%·05:57 PM ET·smart_exit
NOKXHIGHLAX-26JUN12-T74$-0.17
5× @ 82¢·$4.16·conf 78%·04:21 PM ET·smart_exit

Weather model calibration

0 scored forecasts · 102 awaiting outcome · Brier 0.000 (0 = perfect, 0.25 = coinflip)
Auto-tuning: using config defaults (no change yet)

Findings

ℹ️ Too few scored forecasts (0/8)